Stock Market Update -Aug 31st

More see-saw action in the market this week, closing at a net loss for the week. Better than expected second quarter GDP boosted the market mid-week. Dell reported earnings after the close on Thursday and saw its price fall about $4 from the previous day's high, helping to bring the market back down. Also concerns about tropical storm Gustav (now a hurricane) heading to the Gulf, helped fuel a sell-off on Friday. Another bank shutdown was announced on Friday.



Next week the market is closed on Monday. Hurricane Gustav could impact the market as we see a reaction in Oil and Natural Gas prices. Another potentially market moving event is the Jobs report due on Friday.

Market watchers point to September as a traditionally weak month, so we could see some more selling in the coming weeks. Also be careful with Gold equities -many have jumped on the recent rally, but note that there is really no volume behind the rally!

How bad is September for the stock market
Payrolls expected to fall in August
Agency’s Head Expects Banking’s Crisis to Worsen
FDIC Says At-Risk Banks at 5-Year High
Home prices drop by a record amount
Survey: South Florida home prices fell 28%

Oil companies shutting down Gulf operations
Gustav eases to Cat 3, is expected to strengthen
Gold ends lower, posts biggest monthly loss in 25 years
Tap in to gold's yearly cycle
We'll be Worse Off Whoever's President: Jim Rogers
(UK) Economy at 60-year low, says Darling. And it will get worse
Lehman Brothers is still standing, but its foundations look shakier every day
Equities: Nightmare on Wall Street?

The world’s most powerful women

Stock Market Update -Aug 24th

We saw some strength in the market on Friday, though with weak volume, which indicates a weak rally. There are still concerns about Fannie and Freddie (experts say they are technically bankrupt -see chart below). Also concerns about Lehman Brothers’, some of the banks, and the overall credit markets. Federal regulators shut down another bank this week.

Oil pulled back sharply on Friday, the US Dollar pulled back a bit from the recent rally, and Gold started a small rally after falling below $800. Interesting to note that the US Mint has run out of the Gold Eagle 1oz coins!


Next week we close out August and the slow summer trading period. The market is still in a small up-trend, though a weak one, so be careful. We may see some new developments on the Fannie and Freddie situation next week.

On another note, food commodity prices have recently started to rise again.

A Double Dose of Bad Economic News
Bernanke: Financial crisis taking toll on economy
The Final Fate of Fannie and Freddie
The Endgame Nears For Fannie and Freddie
Lehman Could Be Taken Over Soon: Analyst Bove
Ten Financial Entities On The Brink
Billionaires say US debts need attention

U.S. Mint runs out of 1-ounce gold coins as demand jumps
Have commodities hit bottom?
Report: One trader held 11 pct of Nymex contracts (Crude Oil)
UK Economy Grinds to Standstill in Second Quarter
Japanese Banks Halt Lending as Bounced Checks Rise to Record
Stocks and Indexes mentioned in this blog are for educational and illustration purposes only.

In other news...
Google founders make $2 billion each in an hour

Stock Market Update -Aug 17th

The market was up a bit this week, while the US Dollar continued its strong rally fueled by weakness in the Eurozone economy. Gold fell to just under $800, in spite of signs of higher inflation from the CPI report. Foreclosures also continue to rise. Wachovia bank said it would cut 600 more jobs, bringing the total to over 11,000.



Next week we get earnings from Hewlett Packard, Home Depot, and a few more retailers.
September Crude Oil futures also expire next week. The equity market may well continue its recent up-trend.

Europe Facing Much Slower Growth
Consumer prices rise at double expected rate
Japan Economy Shrinks 2.4%, Signaling Recession Looms
Dow off 140 as big banks slump
Morgan Stanley to repurchase troubled securities
2 Banks Will Buy Back $17 Billion in Securities
UBS carves up bank structure as rich clients flee
One Third of New Owners Owe More Than House Is Worth
Gold plunges to 8-month low as investors jump ship
Stocks and Indexes mentioned in this blog are for educational and illustration purposes only.

Stock Market Update -August 10th

The recent up-trend in the market continues, fueled by even lower oil and commodity prices, and a surging US Dollar. Note that both the stock market and the US Dollar seem to have bottomed on July 15th when the financial stocks also hit a bottom in prices.



Next week we get earnings from Walmart and a number of other retailers; earnings season is just about over with more than 80% of the S&P 500 companies having already reported. Also we get the CPI report (Consumer Price Index) on Thursday morning. The recent up-trend in the market could continue for a while, but as always be cautious -we are still in a bear market.

Take a look at a couple of nice charts in the middle of this bear market: MCD (McDonalds), JNJ (Johnson & Johnson), GIS (General Mills), and TJX (T.J. Maxx) are all hitting all time highs!

Stocks end the week with a bang
Oil sinks on stronger dollar to $115 a barrel
Fannie Shares Tumble as Home Loan Defaults Rise
Freddie Mac’s Big Loss Dims Hopes of Turnaround
UBS Settles Fraud Claims for $19.4 Billion
Citigroup returning billions to investors
Bank of America subpoenaed over sale of securities
$1 trillion in losses? Bank on more
Stocks and Indexes mentioned in this blog are for educational and illustration purposes only.

In other news...
Toilets Delay Boeing (BA) Planes

Stock Market Update -Aug 3rd

We basically closed the week near where we started. We got a boost from some of the financial companies, but GM's massive loss of $15 billion, along with another bad unemployment number helped to put a damper on things. Another bank was shut down as well. Oil held up this week, while Gold continues to slide, and the US Dollar continues it's recent up-trend.


Next week we have another Fed meeting on Tuesday. Fannie and Freddie also report earnings, along with AIG, Cisco, and others. Market direction is uncertain at this point, but at least we have stopped going down for now.

News stories:
Happy Birthday, Credit Crisis
NY to file fraud charges against Citigroup
Merrill to raise $8.5 bln selling new stock
Lehman in Talks to Sell Soured Debt to BlackRock
Four big banks to kick-start covered bond market
Hank Paulson's Fannie Gamble
Analysis: Is 22 cents on the dollar now the going rate for subprime assets?

U.S. Economy: Jobless Rate Rises to Four-Year High
California slashes pay of 200,000 state workers amid budget crisis
Debt Ceiling: Up $800bn to $10.615tn
Bennigan's, Steak & Ale file for bankruptcy
Starbucks (SBUX) Has First Quarterly Loss In Its History
UPDATE: GM Loses $15.5 Billion As Sales Plunge, Charges Mount
Exxon posts biggest quarterly profit ever
Stocks and Indexes mentioned in this blog are for educational and illustration purposes only.

Stock Market Update -Jul 27th

We are finally showing signs of breaking out from the most recent downtrend. The proposed government bailout of Fannie and Freddie, along with new rules preventing naked short sales of certain financial stocks gave a big boost to the financial sector.

Oil prices also dropped, helping to boost the stock market; the uptrend in oil has been broken (see chart below). Commodity prices also dropped as the US Dollar rallied. It's too early though to tell whether the stock market rally of the past two weeks will hold -only professional traders should try to trade these moves at this point.

Earnings reports continue to roll in, with many of the financial companies reporting this past week; as expected, the numbers were not good; (also, two more banks were shut down by regulators this week). We also got horrible numbers from Crox -so much for fads. Foreclosures doubled, and existing home sales fell to a 10 year low.

Next week we get the GDP report and the monthly Jobs report. Also earnings from the big oil companies.


News stories:
U.S. Shuts California, Nevada Banks as Failures Rise
WaMu Has $3.3 Billion Quarterly Loss on Delinquencies
Wachovia and Washington Mutual post billions in mortgage losses
Wachovia reports $9 billion loss
Problem banks: What you need to know

U.S. Foreclosures Double as House Prices Decline
The slump persists: Home sales tumble across US
House OKs rescue for homeowners, Freddie, Fannie
Roubini: More Than $1 Trillion Needed to Solve Housing Crisis
2.2 million vacant homes for sale
Durable goods orders in surprise rise

Last week: (sorry, there was no post last week; I was out of town)
Consumer Prices Take Biggest Jump in 26 Years
More banks may fail after IndyMac
WaMu and National City plummet
Should You Be Worried About Bank Failures?
Fannie-Freddie lifeline puts taxpayers on the hook
Dollar slides to fresh low against euro
Oil prices tumble in biggest weekly drop ever
Have commodities peaked?

Other stories:
Zimbabwe's $100bn note
Cancer center warns on cell phone use
Pakistani investors attack bourses after share collapse
Stocks and Indexes mentioned in this blog are for educational and illustration purposes only.

Stock Market Update -Jul 13th

The selling continues (where have you heard that before!). The market sold off again with continued concerns over the financial sector and the financial health of Fannie & Freddie, who together hold or guarantee over $5 trillion in mortgage assets, while their stock valuation has dropped to less than $20 billion! Crude Oil also hit a new all-time high of around $147 on Friday, Gold continues to move higher, and the Euro exchange rate is about to top $1.60. Batten down the hatches!


On Friday after the market closed, regulators reported that they seized IndyMac Bank, making it the third biggest U.S. bank failure ever, and the fifth bank to fail this year! Meanwhile Lehman shares continue to plummet, along with most other financial companies.

Next week could be a volatile week! More earnings reports due (including Citi, Merrill, JP Morgan, CIT, Microsoft, Google, Coke, and some airlines), Options expiration on Friday, and more credit crisis issues (Fannie, Freddie, and others...), along with a few economic reports -be prepared.

The DOW has lost a little over 3000 points since the market slide started last October. We are now officially in a bear market, with the market being down 20% from the peak (of course you didn't have to wait for the official 20% number before pulling out of the market -if you followed this blog you would have known long before!). Some investors are still waiting to find out if we are 'officially' in a recession too!

News Stories:
The $5 trillion mess
Crisis Deepens as Big Bank Fails
U.S. Weighs Takeover of Two Mortgage Giants
Failure Is Not an Option For Fannie and Freddie
Fannie, Freddie insolvent, Poole tells Bloomberg
Lehman shares plunge again
Merrill raids its rainy-day fund
Citi sells German retail banking for $7.7 billion
Stocks face financial fears and a wall of earnings

US foreclosure filings surge 53 percent in June
Six months, 343,000 lost homes
Massive Debt Fueling What Looks Like a Long Recession
Memo to Washington: Let GM Fail
Dow Jones in Euros -Almost 50% off from 2001
Stocks and Indexes mentioned in this blog are for educational and illustration purposes only.

In other news:
Beijing takes dog off the menu for Olympics

Here's an interesting excerpt from stockandnews.com:
"Luft adds that Brazil is already there in terms of energy independence. 90% of new cars sold this year in Brazil will be flex-fuel vehicles that cost an extra $100 to make but can run on any combination of gasoline and ethanol. [Brazil, as you know, being a proponent of sugar-based ethanol.]

Luft: “Lest anyone think that can’t be done in the United States, many of those new cars are being made by General Motors and Ford.”

Of course you won’t find any natural-gas vehicles on the road here, and Brazilian sugar-cane ethanol is impeded by a 54-cent-per-gallon import tariff, thanks to ethanol’s protectionists in Congress. "

Stock Market Update -Jul 6th

The selling continued this past week, as we saw more job losses and high oil prices. Maybe we'll get some support at this level from buyers, but it's still risky at this point so be sure to protect your positions.


Remember my post about Starbucks being a recession indicator back in April -well this week they announced 600 store closings and 12,000 job cuts.

Next week begins a new earnings season -we could see some market reaction to the downside if we continue to get bad news. Looking at the charts above, you can see the S&P 500 is at a critical level that it touched in January and again in March. It could go either way from here, but the DOW has already broken down through this level (chart on the right).

News stories:
Employers cut 62,000 jobs in June, 438,000 this year
Starbucks to cut up to 12,000 jobs, close 600 stores
American Airlines set to cut 7,000 jobs
Oil soars to high near $146, then eases as dollar strengthens
Waiting for stocks to rally? Don't hold your breath
The Bear's Back

Investors’ new worry: Second-quarter earnings
Corporate earnings on track for fourth straight quarterly drop
Morgan Stanley analysts: Credit crisis to extend to 2009
GM needs $15 billion to avoid bankruptcy, Merrill analyst says
Banks: Everything must go!
The buck doesn't stop here; it just keeps falling
Vulture real estate investors swoop in
G-8 meets as economy storm clouds thicken
Stocks and Indexes mentioned in this blog are for educational and illustration purposes only.

Oregon man completes lawn-chair flight
It pays to go in an Indian public toilet