Stock Market Update -Mar 22nd

The market rally continued this week, but started to fade on Thursday and Friday. This rally is the biggest 2 week rally we've seen in decades!

The rally got a big boost on Wednesday after the Fed announcement that they will start buying Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities (i.e. they will be creating money from thin air for these purchases!) This caused the US Dollar to drop even further, and Bond yields to drop, bringing mortgage rates down as well. The drop in the US Dollar caused a continued rise in Oil prices, closing above $50 per barrel, and Gold to surge to $952 per ounce. Welcome to the world of dollar induced inflation (two weeks ago I suggested that the US Dollar had probably hit a top.) Overall we saw a rise in most commodity prices this week.

Also three more banks were shut down, and two credit unions were shut down this week. And lets not forget, new unemployment claims this week came in over 600,000 again!


Next week the market might signal what direction it wants to follow. If it can move above the 50 day moving-average line (chart above), and that line can start turning up, we could see a much bigger rally in the coming weeks.

We also await the much anticipated bank rescue plan from the Treasury (the last 'much anticipated plan' from the Treasury turned out to be a big nothing).

Pros Say: This Is the Bottom
Just A Sucker's Rally, Says John Mauldin
8 Firms Posting Surprising Profits
Banks, credit unions go bust
Nearly 15 percent of hedge funds closed last year
WaMu Sues FDIC for $13 Billion Over Bank Failure
Citigroup's Reverse Split: Will It Really Help?
The Real AIG Scandal

The Shadow of Depression
Treasury’s toxic asset plan could cost $1 trillion
Obama budget could bring $9.3 trillion in deficits
China ‘worried’ about U.S. Treasury holdings
Fed move is a market-changer as the dollar sinks
Dollar caps worst week in 24 years
The Dollar Is Dead

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