Stock Market Blog -Jun 30

We closed out the 2nd quarter with stocks starting to show some weakness, and with lots of losses in Gold, Bonds, and Commodities in general. Stocks could be headed for a bigger correction from the May top (chart below). Shares of AAPL closed below $400, a long way down from $705 when the iPhone 5 was announced. BBRY shares also dropped.

This week commodity prices continued to fall, with grains taking a big hit (Corn, Soybeans, Wheat). Coffee is at multi-year lows and may present a buying opportunity. Gold plunged again -end of quarter selling?? Bonds recovered a bit, but this quarter interest rates had their biggest run up in many years!




New all time highs:   AET, CBOE, DNKN, SBH, STX
All time lows:  --
Pops:  PTR, STEC    -Drops:  ACN, BBRY, WAG,

Next week: Economic reports  Monthly Jobs report!!
Upcoming Earnings reports

BlackBerry Posts Larger-Than-Expected Loss, Shares Plunge
Nike Earnings Run Past Forecasts; Shares Jump



Market Commentary
 
As I mentioned last week "look for setups to short the market on any rallies" -well we got the rally. Next week will be a short one, but we have the Jobs report which could move the market. If this really is a turn in the market from the top in May, we could see a lot more downside (SPX 1550 a good target for now?). We could be in for a rocky 3rd quarter.

Buy Gold and GDX now for a brief bounce?


This week's charts:
Weekly Unemployment claims
S&P 500 -resistance at the 50MA now?

Commodities/Futures (charts):
Crude Oil was up, closing near $96.56
Natural Gas was downclosing near $3.57
Gold plunged again, closing at $1223 -dropped under $1200 this time!
The 30 year Bond was up a bit, closing near $135.84
The US Dollar rallied, closing near 83.37

NEWS:
Stocks: Brutal June clouds start of year's 2nd half
Fed officials in damage control mode
Gold Posts Worst Quarter on Record

German Banks an Accident Waiting to Happen: Expert
Why China's Economy May Be Heading for a Crash
Can Rudd Stop the Rout in the Aussie Dollar?

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